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The daily Specials

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Albionhunter
已加入 在 Apr 2010

43 发布
June 30, 2011
I love the daily Special Offer: together with the daily demo it's my source of new cards at a price that's right. But a while back I became frustrated by the apparent repetition: it looked like the same cards came up again and again. So, a little over a year ago I decided to keep track of what appeared each day.

Yes, some cards come up WAY more frequently than others (Totem really should stop claiming the choice is random), but patience will often be rewarded and almost 85% of the cards currently available have come up at least once in the last year. Most of the cards that haven't come up on special are those issued in the last three months.

From reading the forums it's clear that I'm not the only person who collects their cards this way, so I've started this thread to give an idea of how rare or how common each day's specials are and so maybe help people decide where to spend their credits.

Taking today's specials:

39 Monica: 24 times in last 12 months
252 Dorothy: 14
285 Mina & Nikky: 3
295 Zafira: 1
347 Felina: 16
478 Carmen & Mina: 6
495 Suzie: 3
707 Kami: 1

To give this some context, the average number of times a card has appeared in the last year is 3.4. With its' 24th appearance the Monica Sweet card becomes THE most common card offered on special over the last year and there are 73 cards that have appeared at least 12 times in that period. For the Zafira and Kami cards, this is their first appearance in the last year, so buy them today or maybe face a long wait until they come round on the special again.

Is this something that people will find useful?
Wyldanimal
主持人
已加入 在 Mar 2008

4048 发布
July 1, 2011
Interesting info:

Made me curious, since I like to play Roulette, and I know there are times when a Number has come up, too many times in a given night that it seems like it is just not Random. Or a Number I've played for Days on end Just doesn't come up at all.
( True Randomness is that On each and every pick, every number has just as much chance to be picked as all the others, regardless of any previous results. It is possible with True Randomness, that the same exact number could come up 1000 times in a row.)

I have a roulette simulator that lets you simulate 1 spin, 1000 spins, or Billions of Spins.
You put in your list of bets, and values, and number of Spins.
It then tells you if you won or lost..
( for 1000 spins or less, you CAN come out ahead. )
Once you get past 100,00 spins the Odds catch up, and you are at even money, or a loss.

And it will give a report
What numbers are HOT, what Numbers are Cold, how many times each one came up, and Runs - of the Max number of times a number has come up consecutively.
I ran 10 billion spins one time. It took about 5 hours to finish.
When it was done, there was one number that came up like 400 times in a row..


Okay Back on Subject here. That just made me think about Randomness..

So I wrote a quick little program.
It Picks 8 different Random Numbers a Day ( no duplicates on the same day )
for 365 days a year
The Random cards are out of a selection of 860 cards.

I ran it for 365 days ( 1 Year )
I ran it for 3650 days ( 10 years )

I ran it multiple times at 365 days.
On several runs, I did see one card have more then 10 hits..

So it is possible that Cards picked at Random could be picked more often than expected.

Notice that on the 10 Year runs, there Always was at least 1 card that Never got picked.

Maybe totem is using some type of Weighted factor when selection the cards?
Or it Just could be Random...

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